U.S – World map

Centripetal and centrifugal forces of globalization: the prevalence of closure in times of deglobalization

27Dec

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, Brazil, China, U.S

Centripetal and centrifugal forces of globalization: the prevalence of closure in times of deglobalization

Globalization, in its essence, has always been immersed in a game of contradictory forces that shape the destiny of nations and societies. Celso Lafer, in his analyzes of international politics, highlighted the coexistence of centripetal forces, that promote integration and interdependence, and centrifugal forces, that drive fragmentation and closure. This onslaught, which throughout the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century oscillated between moments of collaboration and conflict, appears to have entered a cycle particularly inclined towards deglobalization. As we look back at the year ending, the international panorama points to a world where centrifugal forces have assumed a disturbing role, redefining the foundations of the global economy and relations between people. The centripetal forces of global....

Trump's threat to BRICS: the single currency and the struggle for global economic hegemony

10Dec

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, BRICS, U.S, International Organizations

Trump's threat to BRICS: the single currency and the struggle for global economic hegemony

In an international scenario marked by growing geopolitical tensions, former president Donald Trump reignited global debates by threatening to tax 100% products from BRICS countries if they move forward with the creation of a single currency. By proposal, which seeks to reduce dependence on the dollar and strengthen economic cooperation between Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, has raised crucial questions about the role of institutions and norms in global governance. From the perspective of Robert Keohane, international relations theorist and defender of liberal institutionalism, This situation can be understood as a clash between the search for hegemonic power and the interdependence that characterizes the contemporary international system. The creation of a single currency by BRICS would be, undressed...

26Nov

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, U.S

Loyalty and controversy: How Trump's Appointments Shape the Future of the US and Its Global Role

The President-elect of the United States, Donald Trump, recently announced the names that will make up his cabinet for the next term, standing out for choosing individuals who are loyal and aligned with their political vision. To follow, we present the main nominees, their respective roles and positions in relation to new responsibilities: Scott Bessent – Secretary of the Treasury: Billionaire and hedge fund manager, Bessent is known for his fiscal conservatism and advocacy of deficit reduction. His appointment signals an economic policy focused on austerity and control of public spending. The Times Marco Rubio – Secretary of State: Senator from Florida, Rubio has a history of strong stances against China, Cuba and Iran. His appointment suggests an assertive foreign policy,...

Energy and fracking: how Trump's victory renews focus on fossil fuels and their environmental challenges

14Nov

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, U.S

Energy and fracking: how Trump's victory renews focus on fossil fuels and their environmental challenges

Energy production from fossil fuels remains a central issue in the United States, especially with the rise of pro-fossil policies, driven by Donald Trump's victory. In your previous government, Trump advocated an expansion of oil and natural gas production through technologies such as hydraulic fracturing, also known as “fracking”, under the argument that the US must guarantee energy independence and strengthen its domestic economy. Although this policy brings some economic benefits, hydraulic fracturing raises environmental concerns, mainly due to the contamination of aquifers, greenhouse gas emissions and earthquakes related to the process. Hydraulic fracturing is a technique that allows the extraction of gas..

Brazil-US partnership for the energy transition: opportunities and limitations to Brazilian development

21Oct

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, U.S

Brazil-US partnership for the energy transition: opportunities and limitations to Brazilian development

The partnership between Brazil and the United States for the energy transition emerges as a strategic initiative in the context of climate change and the search for sustainable development. With common objectives of reducing carbon emissions and promoting clean energy, both countries have engaged in discussions and agreements aimed at facilitating technical cooperation, technological and financial in the area of renewable energy. However, although this partnership presents several opportunities, it also reveals significant limitations to Brazil's autonomous development, especially with regard to technological dependence and economic asymmetries between the two countries. The partnership was formalized in 2021, during Joe Biden's government, com a criação do “Diálogo de Alto N...

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

4Oct

By Alison Cordeiro SousaNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

1 INTRODUCTION Republic of China (RDC) ou Taiwan, is an island located at 200 km from the People's Republic of China (RPC), with independent government and being recognized as a country by 20 nations in the world (BARBOSA, JUNIOR from SATUR, 2016). A RPC, watch the island, as a rebel province that is part of its territory (VLADIMIR IVANOV, 2022). Russia's occupation of Ukraine, in 24 February 2022, with tacit support from China to the Russian invasion, sustained in the international system, speculation about Beijing's intentions with Taiwan (YEUNG, GAN e JIANG, 2022). For example, Thaddeus (2022) states that China's abstention from voting in the United Nations Security Council (HIM-HER-IT) in crisis resolution...

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

30Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

Relations between the United States and China remain complex and volatile, reflecting geopolitical disputes, economic and technological developments between the two largest economies in the world. Jake Sullivan's recent visit, US National Security Advisor, Beijing brought new elements to this dynamic. In meetings with high-ranking Chinese officials, Sullivan addresses critical issues, including trade, cybersecurity, climate change, and human rights, in addition to sensitive issues such as Taiwan and the South China Sea. This visit occurred at a strategic moment, aiming to stabilize relations, but also highlighted deep mutual distrust. In the short term, Sullivan's visit helped reopen communication channels that had been weakened, offering a platform...

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

29Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Argentina, Asia, Brazil, China, Colombia, U.S, Europe, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

Venezuela is going through a delicate moment after the last elections, marked by controversies and political polarization. In the domestic setting, the atmosphere remains tense, with the government and opposition presenting opposing views on the country's future. The elections, seen by many as an attempt at democratic renewal, were criticized by sectors of the opposition and international observers due to questions about transparency and fairness in the electoral process. Not domestic environment, the government has emphasized the legitimacy of the electoral process, pointing to the elections as a victory for national sovereignty and a demonstration that the country is on a path of stability and reconstruction. The government's demonstrations highlight the strengthening of Venezuelan institutions and the continuity of ...

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

27Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, U.S

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

United States elections are always an event of great global impact, and the victory of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris would have significant repercussions on US relations with Latin America in general and with Brazil in particular. If Donald Trump wins the elections, he is likely to continue or intensify his hardline, nationalist approach, characteristics of his first term. One of the main trends would be the continuation of strict immigration policies. Trump has historically advocated hardening borders and implementing restrictive policies against immigrants, often targeted specifically at Latin American countries. This could exacerbate tensions with several nations in the region, especialmente aquelas que dependem economicame...

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

20Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, U.S, Will, Israel, Middle East, Pakistan

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

Iran's Foreign Minister's recent statement, classifying as hypocritical the position of the so-called "Group two 3" – made up of the United States, United Kingdom and France – in relation to a possible Iranian attack on Israel, reveals a deep tension in international relations and the recurring practice of double standards in global politics. The minister criticized the fact that these countries asked Iran to refrain from attacking Israel, without making the same request for Israel to stop its attacks and aggressive policies against the Palestinians. This type of criticism is not new, but gains relevance in times of high tension in the Middle East. Iran's position is based on the perception that there is unequal treatment for situations that, from their point of view, They are essentially....