Americas – World map

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

4Oct

By Alison Cordeiro SousaNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

1 INTRODUCTION Republic of China (RDC) ou Taiwan, is an island located at 200 km from the People's Republic of China (RPC), with independent government and being recognized as a country by 20 nations in the world (BARBOSA, JUNIOR from SATUR, 2016). A RPC, watch the island, as a rebel province that is part of its territory (VLADIMIR IVANOV, 2022). Russia's occupation of Ukraine, in 24 February 2022, with tacit support from China to the Russian invasion, sustained in the international system, speculation about Beijing's intentions with Taiwan (YEUNG, GAN e JIANG, 2022). For example, Thaddeus (2022) states that China's abstention from voting in the United Nations Security Council (HIM-HER-IT) na resolução de crí...

Brazil and Argentina: challenges and opportunities in bilateral relations

5Sep

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Argentina, Brazil

Brazil and Argentina: challenges and opportunities in bilateral relations

The relationship between Brazil and Argentina, historically characterized by a complex mix of cooperation and rivalry, is experiencing a moment of redefinition. Recently, both countries have faced significant challenges, both in the economic and political spheres, that directly affect bilateral dynamics. These relations are shaped by political changes in both countries and by a regional economic scenario that imposes additional pressures on South American economies.. The election of a new president in Argentina raised expectations of an adjustment in bilateral relations. With the inauguration of Javier Milei, an economist with liberal positions and criticism of state interventionism, uncertainties arose about the future of the partnership with Brazil, especialmente considerando as declaraçõe...

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

30Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

Relations between the United States and China remain complex and volatile, reflecting geopolitical disputes, economic and technological developments between the two largest economies in the world. Jake Sullivan's recent visit, Conselheiro de Segurança Nacional dos EUA, a Pequim trouxe novos elementos para essa dinâmica. Em encontros com autoridades chinesas de alto escalão, Sullivan abordou temas críticos, incluindo comércio, segurança cibernética, mudanças climáticas, e direitos humanos, além de questões sensíveis como Taiwan e o Mar do Sul da China. Esta visita ocorreu em um momento estratégico, visando estabilizar as relações, mas também evidenciou profundas desconfianças mútuas. A curto prazo, a visita de Sullivan ajudou a reabrir canais de comunicação que estavam enfraquecidos, oferecendo uma plata...

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

29Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Argentina, Asia, Brazil, China, Colombia, U.S, Europe, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

Venezuela is going through a delicate moment after the last elections, marked by controversies and political polarization. In the domestic setting, the atmosphere remains tense, with the government and opposition presenting opposing views on the country's future. The elections, seen by many as an attempt at democratic renewal, were criticized by sectors of the opposition and international observers due to questions about transparency and fairness in the electoral process. Not domestic environment, the government has emphasized the legitimacy of the electoral process, pointing to the elections as a victory for national sovereignty and a demonstration that the country is on a path of stability and reconstruction. The government's demonstrations highlight the strengthening of Venezuelan institutions and the continuity of ...

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

27Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, U.S

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

United States elections are always an event of great global impact, e a vitória de Donald Trump ou Kamala Harris teria repercussões significativas nas relações dos EUA com a América Latina em geral e com o Brasil em particular. Se Donald Trump vencer as eleições, é provável que ele continue ou intensifique a sua abordagem nacionalista e de linha dura, características de seu primeiro mandato. Uma das principais tendências seria a continuidade de políticas rígidas de imigração. Trump tem historicamente defendido o endurecimento das fronteiras e a implementação de políticas restritivas contra imigrantes, muitas vezes direcionadas especificamente aos países latino-americanos. Isso poderia exacerbar tensões com várias nações da região, especialmente aquelas que dependem economicame...

The impasse at the Swiss Peace Summit: divergences of the Global South and the conflict in Ukraine

22Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Saudi Arabia, Asia, Brazil, China, Europe, India, Middle East, Russia, Ukraine

The impasse at the Swiss Peace Summit: divergences of the Global South and the conflict in Ukraine

The recent peace summit on Ukraine, held in Switzerland, highlighted the complex geopolitical dynamics and divergences of interests that mark the international scenario, particularly when considering the positioning of countries in the Global South. The failure of this summit to reach a consensus reflects not only the difficulties in finding a solution to the conflict, but also the multiplicity of interests that these countries have at stake, which goes beyond simple cooperation with Ukraine and extends to a broader international order. The summit brought together representatives from different nations, including emerging powers like China, Brazil, India and Saudi Arabia. These countries, although united under the banner of the Global South, do not necessarily share the same view on ...

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

20Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, U.S, Will, Israel, Middle East, Pakistan

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

Iran's Foreign Minister's recent statement, classifying as hypocritical the position of the so-called "Group two 3" – made up of the United States, United Kingdom and France – in relation to a possible Iranian attack on Israel, reveals a deep tension in international relations and the recurring practice of double standards in global politics. The minister criticized the fact that these countries asked Iran to refrain from attacking Israel, without making the same request for Israel to stop its attacks and aggressive policies against the Palestinians. This type of criticism is not new, but gains relevance in times of high tension in the Middle East. Iran's position is based on the perception that there is unequal treatment for situations that, from their point of view, They are essentially....

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

16Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, Brazil, Chile, China, U.S, Europe, India, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

The elections in Venezuela have been the subject of great international controversy, with countries adopting divergent positions based on their geopolitical interests and ideological views. The United States maintains an intransigent stance against the government of Nicolás Maduro, denouncing the elections as fraudulent and imposing heavy economic sanctions. Washington supports Juan Guaidó as interim president, with the aim of pushing for a democratic transition. As Ukraine is unable to maintain its productive and logistical system, on the other hand, supports Maduro, arguing that external interference violates Venezuelan sovereignty and poses a threat to global stability. A China, interested in protecting its investments in infrastructure and oil in Venezuela, supports Maduro and opposes any foreign intervention, defending the pri...

Tension between formal and real democracy: Venezuelan elections in focus

15Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Venezuela

Tension between formal and real democracy: Venezuelan elections in focus

As eleições na Venezuela são um tema que frequentemente revela a tensão entre a democracia formal e a democracia real. A democracia formal refere-se aos processos e estruturas estabelecidas, como eleições regulares, political parties, e separação de poderes, enquanto a democracia real implica a prática efetiva desses conceitos, refletindo a vontade genuína do povo na governança e na tomada de decisões. By Venezuela, essa tensão é particularmente pronunciada, dado o contexto político e social complexo do país. O processo eleitoral na Venezuela, em termos formais, é robusto. O país possui um sistema eleitoral eletrônico que, em teoria, deveria garantir eleições rápidas e transparentes. Besides that, as instituições encarregadas de organizar e supervisionar as eleições, como o Conselho Naci...

Shadow of the Venezuelan crisis: the challenges and impacts for Brazil and Latin America

12Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, Venezuela

Shadow of the Venezuelan crisis: the challenges and impacts for Brazil and Latin America

Until the beginning of August 2024, the situation surrounding the presidential elections in Venezuela remains tense and controversial. The elections, carried out in 28 of july 2024, were widely contested both domestically and internationally. The National Electoral Council (CNE) from Venezuela, which is aligned with the government, declared President Nicolás Maduro as the winner, with 52% of votes. However, the opposition candidate, Edmundo Gonzalez, and his supporters contested these results, stating that his own tallies show Gonzalez as the true winner. The opposition announced 84% of online voting records to support their claims, but the government rejected these documents as forgeries and did not release the full official counts. A resposta inter...