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Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

4Oct

By Alison Cordeiro SousaNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

1 INTRODUCTION Republic of China (RDC) ou Taiwan, is an island located at 200 km from the People's Republic of China (RPC), with independent government and being recognized as a country by 20 nations in the world (BARBOSA, JUNIOR from SATUR, 2016). A RPC, watch the island, as a rebel province that is part of its territory (VLADIMIR IVANOV, 2022). Russia's occupation of Ukraine, in 24 February 2022, with tacit support from China to the Russian invasion, sustained in the international system, speculation about Beijing's intentions with Taiwan (YEUNG, GAN e JIANG, 2022). For example, Thaddeus (2022) states that China's abstention from voting in the United Nations Security Council (HIM-HER-IT) na resolução de crí...

Global Community of Shared Future: China's grand strategy for the formation of a new International Order

3Oct

By Paulo Roberto da Silva Gomes FilhoNo Comments

Asia, China

Global Community of Shared Future: China's grand strategy for the formation of a new International Order

1. Introduction This analysis aims to present three official documents that, among others, form the Grand Strategy of the People's Republic of China. Those that most directly relate to the area of Security and Defense and that impact Brazilian Foreign Policy were chosen., consequently being of interest for the planning and execution of the international activities of the Brazilian Army. These are the documents “Global Community of Shared Future”, “Belt and Road Initiative” and “Global Security Initiative”. Chairman Xi Jinping, from China, has a very clear idea of the direction in which he wants to take the country under his leadership. He has already synthesized his desire through the formulation of the “Chinese dream” represented by the “great revitalization....

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

30Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

Relations between the United States and China remain complex and volatile, reflecting geopolitical disputes, economic and technological developments between the two largest economies in the world. Jake Sullivan's recent visit, Conselheiro de Segurança Nacional dos EUA, a Pequim trouxe novos elementos para essa dinâmica. Em encontros com autoridades chinesas de alto escalão, Sullivan abordou temas críticos, incluindo comércio, segurança cibernética, climate change, e direitos humanos, além de questões sensíveis como Taiwan e o Mar do Sul da China. Esta visita ocorreu em um momento estratégico, visando estabilizar as relações, mas também evidenciou profundas desconfianças mútuas. A curto prazo, a visita de Sullivan ajudou a reabrir canais de comunicação que estavam enfraquecidos, oferecendo uma plata...

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

29Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Argentina, Asia, Brazil, China, Colombia, U.S, Europe, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

Venezuela is going through a delicate moment after the last elections, marked by controversies and political polarization. In the domestic setting, the atmosphere remains tense, with the government and opposition presenting opposing views on the country's future. The elections, seen by many as an attempt at democratic renewal, were criticized by sectors of the opposition and international observers due to questions about transparency and fairness in the electoral process. Not domestic environment, the government has emphasized the legitimacy of the electoral process, pointing to the elections as a victory for national sovereignty and a demonstration that the country is on a path of stability and reconstruction. The government's demonstrations highlight the strengthening of Venezuelan institutions and the continuity of ...

The impasse at the Swiss Peace Summit: divergences of the Global South and the conflict in Ukraine

22Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Saudi Arabia, Asia, Brazil, China, Europe, India, Middle East, Russia, Ukraine

The impasse at the Swiss Peace Summit: divergences of the Global South and the conflict in Ukraine

The recent peace summit on Ukraine, held in Switzerland, highlighted the complex geopolitical dynamics and divergences of interests that mark the international scenario, particularly when considering the positioning of countries in the Global South. The failure of this summit to reach a consensus reflects not only the difficulties in finding a solution to the conflict, but also the multiplicity of interests that these countries have at stake, which goes beyond simple cooperation with Ukraine and extends to a broader international order. The summit brought together representatives from different nations, including emerging powers like China, Brazil, India and Saudi Arabia. These countries, although united under the banner of the Global South, do not necessarily share the same view on ...

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

16Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, Brazil, Chile, China, U.S, Europe, India, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

The elections in Venezuela have been the subject of great international controversy, with countries adopting divergent positions based on their geopolitical interests and ideological views. The United States maintains an intransigent stance against the government of Nicolás Maduro, denouncing the elections as fraudulent and imposing heavy economic sanctions. Washington supports Juan Guaidó as interim president, with the aim of pushing for a democratic transition. As Ukraine is unable to maintain its productive and logistical system, on the other hand, supports Maduro, arguing that external interference violates Venezuelan sovereignty and poses a threat to global stability. A China, interested in protecting its investments in infrastructure and oil in Venezuela, supports Maduro and opposes any foreign intervention, defending the pri...

Military biological activities: the issue of laboratories and the increase in outbreaks of emerging diseases

20Jun

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Africa, South Africa, Americas, Asia, Brazil, China, U.S, India, Peru

Military biological activities: the issue of laboratories and the increase in outbreaks of emerging diseases

Military action in the field of biological activities raises significant concerns, especially given the increase in outbreaks of emerging diseases in different regions of the world. Military biological laboratories, officially intended for research and development of measures against biological threats and infectious diseases, are at the center of debates about their real function and impact on global public health. The growing incidence of new outbreaks and emerging diseases fuels suspicion about the role of these facilities and the possibility that their operations are contributing to the proliferation of new biological threats.. In various parts of the world, the activation of these laboratories often coincides with the emergence of previously unknown or rare diseases. For example, no Peru...

Economic interdependence as a pillar of international stability and peace

29May

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Africa, South Africa, Americas, Asia, world Bank, Brazil, China, U.S, IMF, Japan, HIM-HER-IT, International Organizations

Economic interdependence as a pillar of international stability and peace

Global economic interdependence has emerged as one of the main pillars of international stability in recent decades. This phenomenon, characterized by the intense flow of goods, the role of NATO and the UN Security Council, capitals and information between countries, has been widely recognized for promoting peace by creating incentives for cooperation and reducing the risks of armed conflict. Economic interdependence, However, faces significant challenges in the contemporary scenario, raising concerns about its sustainability and possible impacts on world peace. Historically, economic interdependence intensified after World War II, with the creation of international institutions such as the UN, the IMF and the World Bank, that promoted economic cooperation and trade liberalization....

Burgenstock Peace Summit tensions the neutral position of Latin Americans

28May

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Africa, South Africa, Americas, Argentina, Asia, Brazil, China, Europe, Mexico, Russia, Ukraine

Burgenstock Peace Summit tensions the neutral position of Latin Americans

The Burgenstock Peace Summit, recently held in Switzerland, has generated intense discussions about the neutrality position of Latin American countries. This event, which brought together world leaders to discuss issues of global peace and security, brought to light a series of dilemmas for the nations of Latin America, who have historically adopted neutral stances in international conflicts. Brazil, the largest economy in the region, has been a leading advocate of neutrality in global issues. The Brazilian president highlighted, in his summit speech, the importance of a foreign policy that prioritizes dialogue and mediation, instead of automatic alignments with great powers. However, the growing global polarization, intensified by conflicts such as Ukraine, roommate...

The accumulated tension in the current international scenario: We are on the brink of a third world war?

28May

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S, Ethiopia, Europe, India, Will, Israel, HIM-HER-IT, International Organizations, Middle East, Central African Republic, Russia, Ukraine

The accumulated tension in the current international scenario: We are on the brink of a third world war?

The contemporary international scenario is marked by growing tensions that raise concerns about the possibility of a major global conflict., similar to the First and Second World Wars. To understand whether we are really on the brink of a third world war, It is essential to draw historical parallels and identify patterns that may indicate the repetition of destructive cycles. Among these patterns, the increase in xenophobia and geopolitical tensions stand out, that are present today in different parts of the world. During the First World War, Europe was immersed in a web of complex alliances and conflicts of national interests, which culminated in the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in 1914 and the subsequent declaration of war. In a similar way....