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Energy and fracking: how Trump's victory renews focus on fossil fuels and their environmental challenges

14Nov

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, U.S

Energy and fracking: how Trump's victory renews focus on fossil fuels and their environmental challenges

Energy production from fossil fuels remains a central issue in the United States, especially with the rise of pro-fossil policies, driven by Donald Trump's victory. Em seu governo anterior, Trump defendeu uma expansão da produção de petróleo e gás natural por meio de tecnologias como a fraturação hidráulica, também conhecida como “fracking”, sob o argumento de que os EUA devem garantir independência energética e fortalecer sua economia interna. Embora essa política traga alguns benefícios econômicos, a fraturação hidráulica levanta preocupações ambientais, sobretudo pela contaminação de aquíferos, emissões de gases de efeito estufa e tremores de terra relacionados ao processo. A fraturação hidráulica é uma técnica que permite a extração de gás...

Brazil-US partnership for the energy transition: opportunities and limitations to Brazilian development

21Oct

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, U.S

Brazil-US partnership for the energy transition: opportunities and limitations to Brazilian development

The partnership between Brazil and the United States for the energy transition emerges as a strategic initiative in the context of climate change and the search for sustainable development. With common objectives of reducing carbon emissions and promoting clean energy, both countries have engaged in discussions and agreements aimed at facilitating technical cooperation, technological and financial in the area of renewable energy. However, although this partnership presents several opportunities, it also reveals significant limitations to Brazil's autonomous development, especially with regard to technological dependence and economic asymmetries between the two countries. The partnership was formalized in 2021, during Joe Biden's government, com a criação do “Diálogo de Alto N...

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

4Oct

By Alison Cordeiro SousaNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

Western relationship, China e Taiwan: approach using econometrics to assess tensions

1 INTRODUCTION Republic of China (RDC) ou Taiwan, is an island located at 200 km from the People's Republic of China (RPC), with independent government and being recognized as a country by 20 nations in the world (BARBOSA, JUNIOR from SATUR, 2016). A RPC, watch the island, as a rebel province that is part of its territory (VLADIMIR IVANOV, 2022). Russia's occupation of Ukraine, in 24 February 2022, with tacit support from China to the Russian invasion, sustained in the international system, speculation about Beijing's intentions with Taiwan (YEUNG, GAN e JIANG, 2022). For example, Thaddeus (2022) states that China's abstention from voting in the United Nations Security Council (HIM-HER-IT) in crisis resolution...

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

30Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, China, U.S

US-China relations: tensions and perspectives after Jake Sullivan's visit to Beijing

Relations between the United States and China remain complex and volatile, reflecting geopolitical disputes, economic and technological developments between the two largest economies in the world. Jake Sullivan's recent visit, US National Security Advisor, Beijing brought new elements to this dynamic. In meetings with high-ranking Chinese officials, Sullivan addresses critical issues, including trade, cybersecurity, climate change, and human rights, in addition to sensitive issues such as Taiwan and the South China Sea. This visit occurred at a strategic moment, aiming to stabilize relations, but also highlighted deep mutual distrust. In the short term, Sullivan's visit helped reopen communication channels that had been weakened, offering a platform...

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

29Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Argentina, Asia, Brazil, China, Colombia, U.S, Europe, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Venezuela: challenges and perspectives after the elections

Venezuela is going through a delicate moment after the last elections, marked by controversies and political polarization. In the domestic setting, the atmosphere remains tense, with the government and opposition presenting opposing views on the country's future. The elections, seen by many as an attempt at democratic renewal, were criticized by sectors of the opposition and international observers due to questions about transparency and fairness in the electoral process. Not domestic environment, the government has emphasized the legitimacy of the electoral process, pointing to the elections as a victory for national sovereignty and a demonstration that the country is on a path of stability and reconstruction. The government's demonstrations highlight the strengthening of Venezuelan institutions and the continuity of ...

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

27Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Brazil, U.S

The future of US-Latin American relations: divergent paths under Trump or Harris

United States elections are always an event of great global impact, and the victory of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris would have significant repercussions on US relations with Latin America in general and with Brazil in particular. If Donald Trump wins the elections, he is likely to continue or intensify his hardline, nationalist approach, characteristics of his first term. One of the main trends would be the continuation of strict immigration policies. Trump has historically advocated hardening borders and implementing restrictive policies against immigrants, often targeted specifically at Latin American countries. This could exacerbate tensions with several nations in the region, especialmente aquelas que dependem economicame...

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

20Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, U.S, Will, Israel, Middle East, Pakistan

Double standards in global politics: the dilemma between Iran and Israel

Iran's Foreign Minister's recent statement, classifying as hypocritical the position of the so-called "Group two 3" – made up of the United States, United Kingdom and France – in relation to a possible Iranian attack on Israel, reveals a deep tension in international relations and the recurring practice of double standards in global politics. The minister criticized the fact that these countries asked Iran to refrain from attacking Israel, without making the same request for Israel to stop its attacks and aggressive policies against the Palestinians. This type of criticism is not new, but gains relevance in times of high tension in the Middle East. Iran's position is based on the perception that there is unequal treatment for situations that, from their point of view, They are essentially....

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

16Aug

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, Asia, Brazil, Chile, China, U.S, Europe, India, Mexico, International Organizations, Russia, European Union, Venezuela

Paths to Venezuela: scenarios and the position of countries in the face of the electoral crisis

The elections in Venezuela have been the subject of great international controversy, with countries adopting divergent positions based on their geopolitical interests and ideological views. The United States maintains an intransigent stance against the government of Nicolás Maduro, denouncing the elections as fraudulent and imposing heavy economic sanctions. Washington supports Juan Guaidó as interim president, with the aim of pushing for a democratic transition. As Ukraine is unable to maintain its productive and logistical system, on the other hand, supports Maduro, arguing that external interference violates Venezuelan sovereignty and poses a threat to global stability. A China, interested in protecting its investments in infrastructure and oil in Venezuela, supports Maduro and opposes any foreign intervention, defending the pri...

Impacts of the attack on Trump on the US elections: different perspectives

18Jul

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, U.S

Impacts of the attack on Trump on the US elections: different perspectives

The recent attack on Donald Trump, former president and candidate in the upcoming United States presidential elections, gerou uma onda de análises e debates sobre como esse evento pode influenciar o cenário eleitoral. Sem tomar partido, este artigo explora as diversas linhas de análise propostas por diferentes analistas e meios de comunicação, buscando oferecer uma visão abrangente dos potenciais impactos desse incidente nas eleições. Uma das principais linhas de análise sugere que o atentado pode aumentar a simpatia e o apoio a Trump entre seus seguidores e até mesmo entre eleitores indecisos. Segundo o analista político John Zogby, citado pela NBC News, "eventos traumáticos como este podem humanizar uma figura política e gerar uma onda de solidariedade, especialmente entre aqueles q...

The geopolitics of the international criminal court: an analysis of divergent patterns and political influences

17Jul

By Rodrigo CintraNo Comments

Americas, U.S, Europe, Israel, Middle East, Russia, Ukraine

The geopolitics of the international criminal court: an analysis of divergent patterns and political influences

The International Criminal Court (TPI) was established in 2002 with the mission of prosecuting individuals accused of genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity and crimes of aggression. However, ICC actions and decisions are often perceived unevenly by different countries, especially in the United States, who have a history of criticism and distrust towards the court. This article compares recent cases from Russia, Israel and other countries, analyzing the stance of US politicians and exploring how the funding and appointments of ICC members are subject to political influence. The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 brought a series of investigations by the ICC into allegations of war crimes. The international response was overwhelmingly supportive..